ISM Speedway in Phoenix is Kevin Harvick’s monitor, but he faces plenty of competition in Sunday’s 2019 TicketGuardian 500, which begins at 3:30 p.m. ET. Harvick has nine Cups wins at Phoenix and holds track records with 16 top-five finishes, 21 top-10s, and 1,595 laps led. He won this race last spring and has taken down seven of the previous 13 here. Unsurprisingly, Harvick is the 5-2 favorite in the most current 2019 TicketGuardian 500 chances. Three others — Kyle Busch, Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano — have been posted at 8-1 or better on the 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix odds board. With an ultra-competitive field chasing Harvick, some expert advice can go a very long way. That’s the reason you’re going to want to find out what Micah Roberts, a mythical Vegas bookmaker and the pioneer of NASCAR handicapping, is saying about the race before making any 2019 TicketGuardian 500 picks.
Roberts went with Jimmie Johnson as a hefty 25-1 long shot at the season-opening Advance Auto Parts Clash. The result: Johnson endured a huge crash and went on to acquire the rain-shortened race as Roberts’ followers raked it . At the Pennzoil 400 in Vegas a week, Roberts pinpointed a ridiculous seven of the top 10 finishers. He entered the 2019 NASCAR season after finishing big-time in the black in 2018. In reality, individuals who wagered $100 on every one of his picks last year have $1,750 in profit to show for it.
His biggest wins came when he moved against the grain, shooting Keselowski in 12-1 to win against the South Point 400 in Las Vegas at the opening race of the NASCAR playoffs and moving with Logano, additionally 12-1, to shoot the First Data 500 at Martinsville. He also pinpointed four of Harvick’s nine series successes and three of Busch’s nine wins.
That continued an astonishing run in which Roberts chose nine of the 10 winners in the 2017 NASCAR playoffs. In 2016he took Denny Hamlin to win the Daytona 500 at 15-1, and took him again at 40-1 in Watkins Glen later that year. Is up year in, year out.
Now, he has examined Sunday’s 2019 TicketGuardian 500 lineup from every possible angle and then secured in his 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix picks.
We can tell you he’s not going with Keselowski, one of the best Vegas favorites at 7-1 odds. Keselowski’s history on flat tracks is not spectacular, with only one top-five complete in five races at 2018 and no career Cup wins at Phoenix. With numerous other valid contenders in this loaded 2019 TicketGuardian 500 field, Roberts states Keselowski doesn’t even crack the top 10.
One shocker: Roberts is high on Denny Hamlin, a long shot 18-1 TicketGuardian 500 chances. Hamlin’s only win in Phoenix came in 2012, but he was fourth in this race last year and may get an edge as the Joe Gibbs Racing tester in this course in the off-season.
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