This week, we’ve got a Fight Pass card in Singapore. Because it’s in Singapore, we have to wake up at 4:30am ET to see it live. I’ve set the alarm and that I will be up ready to sweat these early fights. DraftKings does not have many large tournaments this week so that I will be playing more money games and less GPPs. I’ll still have 3 GPP lineups but most of my investment that this week will be in cash games. But, There’s still money to be won so here are a Couple of plays I like and my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — Stack, Leon Edwards ($8,600) AND Donald Cerrone ($7,600)
Donald»Cowboy» Cerrone is not in a dull fight. Whether he wins or loses, his fights usually score high as a whole along with also the winner almost always pays off their price tag in DraftKings. I typically look for 100 total points should I stack a struggle in cash and that I think for this being a probable 5-rounds, it should score well over that. Should Edwards win this fight, it is probably an early KO, and if that happens he’ll score very high. If Cerrone wins, he could lock up a entry or a knockout which will easily 10x his cost of $7.6k. However, either way, you have the winner in your lineup along with the ensured 30-90 win bonus points if you do stack. I believe this fight will be fun as long as it continues and there ought to be a fantastic amount of points added up before one of these two get finished. If this does go 5 rounds, then these two should nevertheless get over 100 total points together with the pace Cowboy brings to the table.
GPP drama of this week — Li Jingliang ($9,200)
Li Jingliang always puts on a series when he steps in the Octagon. He’s a quick pace fighter that scores well on DraftKings if he wins. I think he should be the better fighter wherever this struggle ends up against Abe. I also think he could complete this fight on the feet or the floor and if that happens he’d very likely pay off his high price tag of $9.2k. He’s the 3rd most expensive fighter on the card and I believe he’s the highest ceiling. That is what we desire in GPPs is a ceiling, so that’s the reason why Jingliang is my GPP drama of this week.
Underdog drama of the week — Song Yadong ($7,900)
Song Yadong is my favorite DraftKings»underdog» this week. His gambling line has changed to him being a small favorite at -120 but he’s $400 cheaper than his competitor. I believe saving that $400 is a good move in money or GPP games so that I enjoy Yadong in all formats. I believe Yadong will look to maintain this fight on the toes and hunt for this KO win. If he does get the win, then I believe he must easily pay off that cost and get at least 10x.
Fade of this week — Viviane Pereira ($8,800)
My main issue with Pereira is that she is too pricey. At $8.8k, I want at least 88 points from her and I believe she desires get an end to do that. I don’t see that happening and neither does Vegas using a +617 ITD line. She doesn’t strike a high enough pace or territory enough takedowns to score 88 points in my opinion. In her two UFC wins she held her opponent against the fence to get a fantastic section of the struggle and no points are being scored when that happens. If she does this again , there is no way she comes close to 88 points even with a win. I will have a full fade on Pereira this week and I will pay up for other favorites instead.
If you’d like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown using investigation on each struggle, my personal strategies & suggestions, and also my pick prediction for every struggle then it is possible to find that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
https://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks
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