Terence Crawford and Jose Benavidez Jr. will face off tonight in Omaha, Nebraska.
Crawford’s WBO welterweight title is on the line. According to the boxing likelihood at YouWager.eu, Terence Crawford is a prohibitive favorite in -3000 (wager $3,000 to win $100), whereas Benavidez is a huge underdog at +1000 (wager $100 to win $1000). I am always expressing that understanding line worth is the way the sharps in sports gambling come out on top. The rule of betting on sports is don’t bet with your heart. It’s easy to get drawn into the backstory of Jose Benavidez and the adversity he has faced leading up to the fight along with the trash talking and physical altercation in the weigh-in. Regrettably for Benavidez, these strategies are often utilized by a fighter who doesn’t feel he is going to win. Interestingly enough, both fighters weighed in at 145lbs which still begs the question if they’re true welterweights. In Crawford’s case, there was nothing left to accomplish at the super lightweight division after unifying all of the belts and he’s definitely chasing mega conflicts. With respect to Benavidez, it still remains to be seen. Crawford is in a different stratosphere when compared with the resistance Benavidez has faced in his career.
At the conclusion of the day, Crawford and Benavidez have to fight and the main point is that Crawford is going to conquer Benavidez. It how.
Here are my four best bets.
FOUR BEST BETS:
1.) Terence Crawford by KO, TKO or DQ -200 (wager $200 to win $100). -200 is my threshold when it comes to taking a favored. While Benavidez gets the amateur pedigree and is undefeated as an expert, if you look at his level of rivalry, it’s less than stellar opposition. His biggest wins are from journeymen and fighters that already have several losses in their record. Crawford is an elite boxer. He will find a way. For the sake of this bettor’s guide, hopefully before the first half of the ninth round (per my second best bet).
2.) Under 8??1/2 rounds + (wager $100 to win $120). Look, prior to the trash talking, I would have looked at the over as the wise bet, because I felt Benavidez could endure with his height, reach and greater than ordinary boxing ability, however in this case, though some say Crawford would like to maintain Benavidez around and beat on him, I feel that Crawford will look to make a statement and place his foot on the gas pedal earlier than he normally would, particularly if Crawford hurts Benavidez early. If Crawford smells blood, he is going to go in for the kill. Don’t be shocked when the referee steps in for a TKO and conserves Benavidez from additional punishment.
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