2019 TicketGuardian 500 Vegas picks and NASCAR predictions: Fade Brad Keselowski, back Denny Hamlin at Phoenix

ISM Speedway in Phoenix is Kevin Harvick’s monitor, but he faces lots of competition at Sunday’s 2019 TicketGuardian 500, which starts at 3:30 p.m. ET. Harvick has nine Cups wins at Phoenix and retains track records using 16 top-five finishes, 21 top-10s, and 1,595 laps led. He won this race last spring, and it has taken down seven of the previous 13 here. Unsurprisingly, Harvick is the 5-2 favorite in the latest 2019 TicketGuardian 500 odds. Three others — Kyle Busch, Brad Keselowski and also Joey Logano — are posted in 8-1 or better on the 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix chances board. Having an ultra-competitive field pursuing Harvick, some expert advice can go a very long way. That is why you’re going to want to find out what Micah Roberts, a legendary Vegas bookmaker and also the leader of NASCAR handicapping, is stating about the race prior to making any 2019 TicketGuardian 500 selections.
Roberts went with Jimmie Johnson as a hefty 25-1 long shot at the season-opening Advance Auto Parts Clash. The result: Johnson endured a massive crash and proceeded to acquire the rain-shortened race as Roberts’ followers raked it in. In the Pennzoil 400 in Vegas last week, Roberts nailed a ridiculous seven of the top 10 finishers. He entered the 2019 NASCAR season after finishing big-time from the black at 2018. In reality, individuals who wagered $100 on every one of his picks annually have $1,750 in gain to show for this.
His biggest wins came after he moved against the grain, taking Keselowski at 12-1 to win the South Point 400 in Las Vegas at the opening race of the NASCAR playoffs and going with Logano, also 12-1, to shoot the very first Data 500 at Martinsville. In addition, he nailed four of Harvick’s nine series victories and three of Busch’s nine wins.
That lasted an astonishing run in which Roberts picked nine of the 10 winners in the 2017 NASCAR playoffs. In 2016he chose Denny Hamlin to win the Daytona 500 in 15-1, and took him at 40-1 at Watkins Glen later that year. Is up year after year.
Now, he has examined Sunday’s 2019 TicketGuardian 500 lineup from every possible angle and locked in his 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix picks.
We can tell you he’s not going with Keselowski, among the top Vegas favorites at 7-1 odds. Keselowski’s background on flat tracks isn’t spectacular, with just one top-five finish in five races in 2018 and no career Cup wins at Phoenix. With numerous other legitimate contenders in this loaded 2019 TicketGuardian 500 field, Roberts states Keselowski doesn’t even crack the top 10.
1 shocker: Roberts is high on Denny Hamlin, a long shot 18-1 TicketGuardian 500 chances. Hamlin’s lone win in Phoenix came back in 2012, but he was fourth in this race this past year and may get an edge as the Joe Gibbs Racing tester at this track in the off-season.

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