ISM Speedway in Phoenix is Kevin Harvick’s track, but he faces lots of competition in Sunday’s 2019 TicketGuardian 500, which begins at 3:30 p.m. ET. Harvick has nine Cups wins at Phoenix and retains track records with 16 top-five finishes, 21 top-10s, and 1,595 laps led. He won this race last spring, and it has taken down seven of the previous 13 here. Unsurprisingly, Harvick is the 5-2 favorite in the most current 2019 TicketGuardian 500 odds. Three others — Kyle Busch, Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano — are posted at 8-1 or better on the 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix odds board. Having an ultra-competitive field pursuing Harvick, some expert guidance can go a long way. That’s the reason you’re going to want to find out exactly what Micah Roberts, a legendary Vegas bookmaker and also the pioneer of NASCAR handicapping, is saying about the race before making any 2019 TicketGuardian 500 picks.
Roberts went with Jimmie Johnson as a hefty 25-1 long shot at the season-opening Advance Auto Parts Clash. The end result: Johnson survived a huge crash and proceeded to win the rain-shortened race as Roberts’ followers raked it . At the Pennzoil 400 in Vegas last week, Roberts nailed a ridiculous seven of the top 10 finishers. He entered the 2019 NASCAR season after finishing big-time from the black at 2018. In fact, individuals who wagered $100 on each of his selections last year have $1,750 in profit to show for this.
His biggest wins came after he moved against the grain, taking Keselowski in 12-1 to win against the South Point 400 in Las Vegas in the opening race of the NASCAR playoffs and moving with Logano, additionally 12-1, to take the First Data 500 in Martinsville. In addition, he pinpointed four of Harvick’s nine series successes and three of Busch’s nine wins.
That continued an astonishing run in which Roberts chose nine of the 10 winners in the 2017 NASCAR playoffs. In 2016, he chose Denny Hamlin to win the Daytona 500 at 15-1, and took him at 40-1 at Watkins Glen after that year. Anyone who’s after his selections is up year in, year out.
Now, he has analyzed Sunday’s 2019 TicketGuardian 500 lineup from every possible angle and locked in his 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix picks.
We can tell you he is not going with Keselowski, one of the top Vegas favorites at 7-1 odds. Keselowski’s background on horizontal tracks is not spectacular, with just one top-five complete in five races in 2018 without a career Cup wins at Phoenix. With numerous other valid contenders in this loaded 2019 TicketGuardian 500 field, Roberts says Keselowski doesn’t crack the top 10.
1 shocker: Roberts is high on Denny Hamlin, a long shot at 18-1 TicketGuardian 500 odds. Hamlin’s only win in Phoenix came back in 2012, but he was fourth in this race last year and might have an advantage as the Joe Gibbs Racing tester at this track in the off-season.
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