The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers both come into this Saturdays game with statement successes.
LSU beat against the Longhorns and moved to Texas. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn at the Swamp previous weekend. But during this weeks matchup in Death Valley, the two teams look to take more than a top-four place in the race .
Floridas defense leads the way for them. They have given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and havent given up a stage from the 4th quarter because their opener. Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered since he went 11 with three INTs, into creating poor decisions that were several a week.
However, Joe Burrow isnt Nix. Hes a veteran quarterback and has led LSU to the greatest start in SEC history. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the most in school football. That includes the 45 they dumped on the street on Texas.
Together with the roar of all Death Valley the Gators come in as underdogs on BetNow. Can the No. 5 defense keep this near and cover the spread? Or will also the No. 2 passing crime as well as Burrow keep rolling up and also win the bet? Here is the complete breakdown.
There is hardly any doubt in Burrows skill . He has converted to a Heisman candidate, acquiring an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
Hes also working with one of the receiving groups in the country. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, along with Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, together with averages over 15 YPC for these three.
Jefferson has great length using his 63 frame and has dominated in some big games. Chase is an actual existence on the opposing side. Marshall Jr. will sit until November with a foot injury, however, Derrick Dillon is an experienced target who will fill the area. It is all a part of a passing game that has Burrow at a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face by far the DB unit theyve played with throughout the year. Northwestern State is a FCS group, but here are the yards-per-attempt composed by LSU competitors: Texas 124th, Georgia Southern 111th, Vanderbilt 128th, along with Utah State 103rd.
Though its safe to say they have yet to perform with a QB of the standard of Burrow, florida sits at 33rd. Theyve played FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Nevertheless, C.J. Henderson was preseason All-American who is living up to his billing. Shawn Davis generates a lot of havoc at the secondary (111 yards on three INTs). Marco Wilson is somewhat on spot, but has a large ceiling.
Burrow will face a, which will be healthy for the first time since their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, believed to be their very best is coming back from injury. With him on one side along with Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) on the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate on their o-line will be tested.
Ever since Kyle Trask replaced Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) as Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
While the QB have to improve his consciousness in the pocket, he has to get flustered with an opposing lineup. Auburns according is the very best in the nation, and ranks 11th in defensive line yards to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st in LY and is now currently 85th in sack speed. Theyll rely upon blitzing LBs to assist throw Trask off his game. The Florida QB is confident in the pocket but is not portable out of it. He also sprained a knee and wore a leg brace when he reentered the match.
Together with all the LBs All-American safety Grant Delpit should come up big in policy. He likely will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dash) is critical to LSUs success on D.
LSU–such as Floridas secondary–is considered DBU for the talent they possess on the perimeter of their defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances that should land him on the All-Freshman team, or even more, in 2019.
Would be out of returning FBS corners Kristian Fulton, who permitted the smallest quantity of downs this past year. Itll be a push if given a chance against a pressured Trask though this group is presently in passing yards allowed per-game 69th.
Balance will be crucial as ever for Florida, that has not got their running game going this season. A tackle broke at the point on his way into a 88-yard TD run . Despite this, the Florida o-line ranks 113th based on yards and also is going up from the No. 1 d-line in terms of power success (short-yardage scenarios ).
Even though the LSU front may not be strong. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the ground, and that is like Perines long run and also a 76-yard receiver sweep which closed out the Kentucky game.
It puts ways pressure on Trask in a hostile environment, if they dont buy Perine or even Dameon Pierce going frequently.
Florida has earned admiration following last week from the school football world. And while I dont expect them to come out in Death Valley, I really do see this sport staying most.
LSUs offense made amazing strides, also Burrow is one of the more intelligent QBs from the FBS. However, LSU isnt likely to install 45 or anything close to this against a defense whos known at all three levels. Their pass-rush has evolved with Greenard wreaking chaos.
The Gators defense will probably wear out over time, as they much too much to change the tide in matches have been relied on by the staff. Marco Wilson will be the subject against Jefferson or the Chase to a late-game PIs.
But I dont expect this till late in the fourth quarter. Keeping the game in enough of a slog till afterward makes Florida the proper bet on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)
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