The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would need to be for a
hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50 percent of the games against the schedule played with the team in question at the games
that it has played up to now. The schedule difficulty of every given game takes
into account the rating of the opponent and the location of the game. This
is the identical concept which is used in calculating the WIN50% summit ratings.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and permit an ADDITIONAL 4 points for the home
team. Thus, by way of example, a HOME team with a rating of 92 would be
favored by 6 points over a VISITING team with a rating of 90.
Or a VISITING team with a score of 89 would be favored by 7 points
over a HOME team having a score of 78.
The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a
hypothetical staff to have a mathematical expectation of winning just 50 percent of their matches against the schedule played by the team in question at the matches it has played up to now. The schedule difficulty of each given game takes
into account the score of the competition and the location of the match. This
is the identical concept that is used in calculating the WIN50% summit ratings.
To make predictions for upcoming games, simply compare the RATINGS of
the teams in question and allow an ADDITIONAL 3 points for the home
team. Thus, by way of instance, a HOME team having a score of 27 will be
favored by 5 points over a VISITING team with a rating of 25.
Or a VISITING team with a rating of 24 would be favored by 7 points
over a HOME team with a rating of 14.
NOTE.
In the example just above, a home edge of 4 was shown for
illustrative purposes. The home edge will vary during the season.
A number of different home edges are revealed, one for each of those many different type of evaluations directly over their various columns.
The figures to the best of a team’s schedule strength are its rank of
schedule – (in parentheses) – and its record versus teams in these
rating’s CURRENT top 25 and CURRENT top 50 respectively.
Teams that look tied to two decimal places in a given column are actually
different when transported to more decimal places in the computer’s internal arithmetic.
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