After launching at 3-1, Kyle Busch is the 3-2 preferred for NASCAR in Watkins Glen 2018, which runs Sunday at 3 p.m. ET. It’s the second road course race of the year and Denny Hamlin, recorded at 10-1 NASCAR in Watkins Glen odds, won the pole Saturday. Busch leads all active drivers with four road course wins, including two in Watkins Glen, but his final win in The Glen has been back in 2013. Martin Truex Jr. won GoBowling at The Glen last year and can be recorded at 4-1 odds. Before you make any 2018 NASCAR in Watkins Glen choices, you want to find out exactly what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.
The model, built by DFS expert Mike McClure, has a proven track record in a number of sports. In addition, it powers McClure’s DFS projections, which have led him to over $1 million in career winnings.
McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big racing events in this way are in his blood, and his model has been crushing its 2018 NASCAR picks.
The model has made several enormous calls this season, nailing the 1-2 finish for Busch and Harvick in the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 as well as Harvick’s win at the KC Masterpiece 400. In addition, it nailed five of the top 10 in Bristol and a couple of the top five at Daytona, simply to name a few. Anybody following its selections this season is way, way up.
Now that the 2018 NASCAR in Watkins Glen area is locked, SportsLine simulated the occasion 10,000 times and the results were unexpected.
1 surprising pick from the model for GoBowling at The Glen 2018: Chase Elliott, getting the third-best NASCAR at Watkins Glen odds to win at 6-1, does not sniff the best 10. He’s a driver to prevent on Sunday despite his leading starting place of third.
Elliott remains in search of the initial career Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series win. He’s cracked the top 10 in four of his past seven starts, but was only 19th at Chicago and 34th at Daytona a month. Last year in Watkins Glen, Elliott again started close to the top in fourth, but finished a disappointing 13th. He clocked the fastest rate (124.520 mph) in the last clinics for GoBowling in The Glen 2018, but the version says he is a favorite to fade.
Another shocker: Truex Jr., obtaining the second-best odds at 4-1, does not even finish in the top five.
He has had lots of success on street tracks, such as winning last year. But he is a risky pick at these odds because he’s got an average finish position of 12th in Watkins Glen in his career, and it has completed 10th or worse in three of his past six races . There are better values out there within this affluent Go Bowling in The Glen field.
Instead, the version is targeting two enormous underdogs with odds longer than 30-1 that are poised to make a serious run at the checkered flag, such as a monster long shot. Anyone who bets on such underdogs could strike it rich.
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