Can this get any easier? Based on the specialist NFL analysts of Bleacher Report are faring against the spread this year, it surely can not get much harder.
Deciding every game, Gary Davenport, Brad Gagnon and Brent Sobleski had yet another run in Week 12, falling their album that is joint to 251-259-18. Individually and as a team, here’s the harm through 12 weeks (last week’s records in parentheses):
1. Gary Davenport: 92-78-6 (7-8)
2. Brent Sobleski: 81-89-6 (7-8)
3. Brad Gagnon: 78-92-6 (5-10)
Consensus picks: 83-87-6 (7-8)
With December loomingwe requested longtime sports betting advisor Dave Tuley when there might be some light at the end of the tube to the gambling public or if the sportsbooks will continue to benefit from larger samples in the season.
We were given a hope, but not enough to get by tuley.
«There was a period less than a dozen years back where I had a lot of years in a row where I just killed it the second half of this year and in December,» he explained. «At the moment, I felt as though it was just the time of year when the good teams were overrated and the bad teams were underrated, and with parity what it was, the underdogs were doing a whole lot better at that time.»
However, Tuley notes that neither the books nor the bettors have encountered benefits . «As much as bettors want to believe that we’re getting smarter the more people see these teams play,» he said,»clearly the oddsmakers are seeing the same things we are, and they’re adjusting and which makes it hard also.»
But he believes it’s possible to pick out lines that were exaggerated by streaks and/or slumps. Specifically, he pointed in the 7.5-point distribute in favor of this New Orleans Saints in a road matchup with the NFC East-leading Dallas Cowboys on Thursday night.
With that line, oddsmakers are suggesting the Saints would be favored by as many as 13 or 14 points if this game were at New Orleans, which does appear high considering that the Cowboys are riding a three-game winning streak.
«That’s [a reflection of] the way the Saints have been enjoying,» Tuley said. «For the books to balance their actions, they must put it in the number.»
It’s something to keep in mind as we enter the final month of the 2018 regular season. Any advice helps, if you’ve been following us annually, although it might not save your season as a bettor.
Here’s what Davenport, Gagnon and Sobleski are currently thinking heading into the initial 16-game slate in more than two months.
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