The hockey world was shocked this week when the Florida Panthers, apparently out of nowhere, fired head coach Gerard Gallant following a 3-2 loss to the Carolina Hurricanes. Considering that the injuries the Cats have experienced this year, their 11-10-1 record appeared commendable and Gallant was in the middle of a division title-defending season.
It has become clear that possession desired to take the team in another way than Gallant was ready to and there were reports of friction between both parties if the 53-year-old tutor refused to embrace analytics. Tom Rowe, the guy taking over as the Panthers’ interim bench boss, voiced willingness to utilize analytics inside his training style and that finally led to Gallant’s demise.
As soon as I heard this news, my first response was to feel bad for Gallant. That sorrow quickly subsided, but when I obtained the amounts of NHL teams have done in their first game with a new trainer and realized that there is significant money to be produced in evaporating the Panthers.
Since the beginning of the 2014-15 season, teams with new head coaches are 8-17 within their first games under new direction. That’s a bet that’s cashed 68% of the time if you have faded the group using a new bench boss.
If you have a look at this another way and only take into consideration coaches who started with their teams midseason, but that document drops to 1-6 — a cash rate of 85.7.
The Panthers will play the Chicago Blackhawks tonight in their first match under Rowe and I see hardly any scenarios where the Panthers win this match. Not only will the Panthers have to adapt to a brand new system with two weeks of turnaround, they will also have to do it from a’Hawks team that is playing its first match at home in over two weeks.
Although they’ve been slumping a little recently, the Blackhawks are 8-1-2 in the United Center this season and will be relishing the chance to play this reeling group on ice.
I’m a big fan of analytics and what they can do for the game of baseball but what we’ve seen from teams who have gone gangbusters with allowing stats guide their decision-making and hockey philosophy — it is not a simple transition.
The Arizona Coyotes are a terrific illustration of this. They made headline news during the offseason when they hired a 26-year-old, John Chayka, as their general manager. This decision was based solely on Chayka’s analytical background and so far it hasn’t exactly repaid. The’Yotes have only eight wins this year and are tied for dead last in the league.
I love that the Panthers’ — fully healthful — roster and I guess this decision pays off in the long run but for tonight, and likely a while moving forward, Florida is prime fade cloth. Matters could be getting considerably darker before the sun comes up in Sunrise.
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