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Notre Dame (9) vs Louisville
Monday, September 2 nd, 8:00 PM in Cardinal Stadium
Swinging Johnson: This week Doug Upstone and render our college football selections on the Monday night game between the Louisville Cardinals and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and that I will deviate from our regularly scheduled plan of NFL discussion to dip our feet into uncharted waters.
It will probably be the very first and only time this year we do so, as the last week of display NFL soccer is somewhat lackluster compared to some regular-season sport of NCAA football featuring one of the best teams in the country, plus a legendary soccer program to boot up, Notre Dame.
Without further ado, let us begin the debate after my buddy Doug Upstone got the best of me last week with a bet about the Steelers while I endorsed the Titans. Weve been swapping wins on and back so it appears like its my turn for the golden wreath, as the Irish are heartily endorsed by me and will follow each of the squares putting the thick lumber onto a road favorite.
After reviewing the school football odds nearly six days ahead of the Monday night affair, I see the lineup has spiked a half-point about the preferred, opening at Notre Dame -19 1/2 to where it is now offered at a solid -20 across the board at all of the best online sportsbooks.
I love the Irish but you are currently leaning on the Cardinals. Aside from the place do you believe Louisville could hang with the boys?
Doug Upstone: Yup Swinger, IMO and a convincing triumph, it said a great deal about the Steelers and Titans direction. Lets move to real soccer, where the games count and will our records on this one.
Remember Louisville utilized to perform against big-name competitions? They held their engineered and own several upsets. These were enjoyable games to see and the Cardinals were an golf club.
However, like the former Papa Johns Stadium as well as its counterfeit (in real life) proprietor, Louisville football last season was worse than a three-day-old pizza.
Scott Satterfield are out win games and to change the civilization and worked wonders at Appalachian State. This wont happen right away as the talent level is down from theVille. This is a time for Louisville, a group that has the chance.
I have read in which the Cards coaches have popped up the slow mechanics of QB Jawon Pass (good name for a QB) and I enjoy Hassan Hall as the direct running back. Than having a ticket for the Colts at OVER 9 for season 23, the defense that makes me more nervous. Please do tell youve got up your Irish.
Swinging Johnson: The Cardinals will not be doing much flying in this match since the Notre Dame defense will keep them snug in their nest. Scott Satterfield is in the big leagues and he has a group coming off of a dismal 2-10 record last year in which they went winless. This rebuild is akin to attempting to turn it into an F-22 Raptor and taking a hot air balloon.
While this may eventually occur, the problem is that Louisville is facing a team which made it to the CFP last year and possessed only one of the stingiest defenses in all of college football, devoting only 17.2 points within the regular season and moving a perfect 12-0 until they met Clemson in the CFP semifinals. The Irish offense was clicking on all cylinders averaging over 33 points per match.
My issue is, just how is a quarterback like Pass who is slow to discharge, designed to get some traction against a defense? Especially when he is working with an offensive scheme that is entirely new and a new coach?
Please, Doug, rescue me Im lost! I find no way, shape or form in which Louisville will be able to keep pace and I am desperate for the sage wisdom and handicapping experience!
Doug Upstone: Well, Swinger, Im pleased to see in your last sentence youre coming over to the sunny side of sports gambling, or youre simply being the identical shrewd a** you usually are. Ill allow the SBR readers who are making college football selections decide on that. Im the first to understand Louisville was, however 1-11 ATS and fully pumped final season.
However, that staff COMPLETELY gave up on coach Bobby Petrino, like he gave up on the Atlanta Falcons. A new mindset is brought by A coach and his staff will be sold by Satterfield on creating a statement, with this being a federal game. Louisville does need to trust they will not be taken by the Irish and not have much fight.
Lets also consider, Brian Kelly with gold and all the blue is ATS as a road favorite, and a mere 7-9-1 ATS, if dishing out more or 20 digits. That defense you said may improve as the year progresses but replacing five starters, if you dont/can not amuse like Clemson or Bama, it will take some time.
I was being a bit facetious because although youve got an handicapping that was impressive restart, then you miss the mark from time to time. And in this instance, you happen to be shooting, since Louisville could be greater but Id submit that they are coached by a Rhesus monkey and enhance upon their deplorable record rendered by an coach like Petrino.
I know that laying nearly 3 touchdowns on the street would be square biz for sure and Joe Q. Public never got rich by gambling the heavy road chalk, but sometimes the general public is correct, and also in this instance they are. Until next week when we get down on our NFL Game of the Week, let us see what happens on Monday when the Irish come ready to squint at Louisville.
Free College Football Pick: Swinging Johnson — Notre Dame -20 (-110)
Free College Football Pick: Doug Upstone — Louisville +20 (-110)
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